Case 1:98-cv-00126-JFM
Daniel Fischel
Document 816-15
Washington, D.
Filed 06/01/2004
Page 1 of 17
September 6 , 2002
Page 240
for the various components, series of names for the
various components of the analysis that I performed
on which my conclusions are based.
I just want to make sure that there s no
caveat here, you said there I s
no name that you I
aware of for putting it all together, using my phrase
in this particular case, is there also no name for
putting it all together in terms of in general
determining whether or not a plaintiff' s damage claim
in the litigation is speculative more generally, not
necessarily linked just to this case?
MS. POWELL:
THE WITNESS:
Objection, vague.
m not sure what that means
but I think in different cCj.ses the damages analyses
can vary, obviously, so I would say it' s, to the
extent I understand the question , I would say that
you would need to understand the context and the
facts and circumstances of a particular case and then you could determine the extent to which conclusions that are reached in that particular case depending on
whatever the relevant facts and circumstances
are,
what the bases is for those conclusions and what
methodology is used and what the name is or names for
the particular methodologies that are used and
whether :i(t' s one or several.
I I m not even ?ure at
158
IIII 14th
Street, N. W.
Alderson Keponmg company, mc. Suite 400 t- 800-FOR- DEPO Washington, DC 20005
Case 1:98-cv-00126-JFM
Daniel Fischel
Document 816-15
Washington , D.
Filed 06/01/2004
Page 2 of 17
September 6 , 2002
Page 241
this level of generality it I s possible
this in a meaningful way.
BY MR. SHAPIRO:
to discuss
All right.
I think we
I ve covered that
Before we got
subj ect adequately for the time being.
the call from the judge we were focused on " must
move" fuel and footnote six in your expert witness
report, and you had said that the footnote was
intended to imply that the operating plants would
have " must move" fuel that would have to be taken
care of.
As I was looking at the phrase first, what
did you mean to refer to when you said that discharge
from operating reactors would have to be
removed - - would
have to be moved first, what would
be moved second then?
Again, this is attempting to capture the
concept of " must
move" fuel as used in Mr. Graves'
report.
Any one of the number of things could be
second or third or fourth or
fifth.
You didn t necessarily mean to say that
the " must
move" fuel from operating reactors has to
be moved first before plaintiffs' shutdown reactor
must move" fuel.
That I S not what you were referring
to?
I I m not sure that is necessarily what was
158A
AIOerson Keportmgcompany, mc.
1111 14th Street, N. W. Suite 400 1- 800- FOR- DEPO Washington, DC 20005
~:'.;/ , ~~~
,
- - - - - - - -- -- - - - - - . - - - - Case 1:98-cv-00126-JFM
Daniel Fischel
Washington, D.
'Filed 06/01/2004 Page 3 of 17
October 8 ,
Document 816-15
2002
Page 280
IN THE UNITED STATES COURT OF FEDERAL CLAIMS
YANKEE ATOMIC ELECTRIC
CERTIFIED-COPY .:..J
: Case Nos. 98- 126C,
: 98- 474C,
COMPANY, MAINE YANKEE ATOMIC:
POWER CO., and CONNECTI CUT
YANKEE ATOMI C POWER CO.,
98- 154C'
Plaintiffs,
: (Senior Judge Morrow)
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
(VOLUME III)
Defendant.
- - x
Washington, D.
Tuesday, October 8, 2002
Deposition of DANIEL FISCHEL, a witness
herein, called for examination by counsel for
Plaintiff in the above- entitled matter, pursuant
to notice, the witness being duly sworn by LORI MACKENZIE, a Notary Public in and for the District of Columbia , taken at the offices of Spriggs &
Hollingsworth, 1350 I Street, N.
, 9th Floor
Washington, D. C., at 9: 37 a. m. on Tuesday,
October 8 , 2002, and the proceedings being taken
down by Stenotype by LORI G. MACKENZIE , RPR , and
transcribed under her direction.
;1'
159
I1II 14th Street ,
Alderson ReportingCompany, Inc. N. W. Suite 400 1- 800- FOR- DEPO Washington , DC 20005
.' "
Case 1:98-cv-00126-JFM
Daniel Fischel
Document 816-15
Filed 06/01/2004
Page 4 of 17
October 8 , 2002
Washington, D.
Page 286
~!d
You said there was 70-some order
contracts initially and then, through
consolidation there are now an effectively smaller
number of players.
Do you know what that smaller number is?
I have some understanding that maybe some
number in the 40s.
But, I am not 100 percent sure
of that.
Let I S turn back to your expert witness
reportJ I believe it is Exhibit 4 to your
deposition.
front of you.
f~JJ
I believe it is in the compilation in
MS. POWELL:
Exhibit I?
It must be , Exhibit 1, I am
MR. SHAPIRO:
sorry.
BY MR. SHAPIRO:
I want to ask you some questions starting
wi th
Paragraph 17.
Okay.
I have it.
, 20
We are discussing greater than Class C
Waste.
What sort of greater than Class C Waste
does Yankee Atomic have?
MS. POWELL:
Objection ,
vague.
THE WITNESS:
I don' t have an opinion on
that one " one way or the other.
\in
160
Alderson Reportmg Company, Inc. 1111 14th Street, N. W. Suite 400 1-800-FOR- DEPO Washington, DC 20005
.", ...., ~'g\ , .. :'
Case 1:98-cv-00126-JFM
Daniet Fischel
Document 816-15
Filed 06/01/2004
Page 5 of 17
October 8 , 2002
Washington, D.
Page 287
BY MS. POWELL:
Do you know how Yankee Atomic has come to have greater than Class C waste?
No , I don't know.
What about Connecticut Yankee, do you
know what sort of greater than Class C Connecticut
Yankee has?
MS. POWELL: THE WITNESS:
Objection, vague.
Not as I sit
here.
BY MR. SHAPIRO:
What about Maine Yankee, do you know what sort of greater than Class C waste the Maine
Yankee might have?
, MS. POWELL:
THE WITNESS:
Same obj ection.
No, I don't.
BY MR. SHAPIRO:
Do you how Maine Yankee has come to have
a greater than Class C waste?
No.
Do you know that Yankee Atomic has greater than Class C Waste?
My understanding is that at least some of
the plaintiffs have greater than Class C
Do you know which ones?
waste.
Not from memory, no, I ,
would have to
161
, Alderson Reporting Company, Inc.
1111 14th Street, N. W. Suite 400 l:- 800-FOR-DEPO Washington, DC 20005
~~:.y ~:~~~j ::' ,,~;
)j/ ,.. ,,"
Case 1:98-cv-00126-JFM
Daniel Fischel
Document 816-15
Filed 06/01/2004
Page 6 of 17
October 8 ,
2002 '
Washington, D.
Page, 288
check.
Is greater than Class C waste something
that every utility has?
I would have to check.
Do you know what percentage of nuclear
utilities have greater than Class C waste?
Not without checking, no.
Do you know how any utility would develop
greater than Class C waste?
MS. POWELL:
Objection.
Not without checking, no.
THE WITNESS:
BY MR. SHAPIRO:
You say in paragraph 17 that if greater
than Class C waste, and I see you used the acronym
15,
GTCC, I assume you mean greater than Class C
waste?
Yes.
Greater than Class C waste cannot be
included in delivery commitment
schedules, and I
know you also talk about fuel and spent fuel, but
I' II
treat them one at a
time.
If greater than Class C waste cannot ,
included in delivery commitment schedules, then
purchaser would have little incentive to engage in
exchanges, , because the exchanges would not
162
Awerson Keportmgcompany, Inc" 1111 14th Street, N. W. Suite 400 1-8oo-FOR-DEPO Washington; DC 20005
(?~~;~! ' ,' "
Case 1:98-cv-00126-JFM
Daniel Fischel
Document 816-15
Filed 06/01/2004
Page 7 of 17
October 8
2002
Washington, D.
Page 290
What facts and circumstances do you need
to know?
The extent to which the cOst s that would
be incurred in trying to engage in exchanges would
be a worthwhile investment and expe~diture if the
need for on-site storage would not be eliminated
in any event because of the exclusion of greater
than Class C waste from the program.
Do you know if greater than Class C waste
has to be stored on the site of a nuclear utility
as opposed to being stored at other locations?
MS. ' POWELL;
Obj ection, vague.
THE WITNESS: ' Not without checking, no.
Do you have any knowledge of just what
the requirements are for a nuclear utility to
store greater than Class C waste?
MS. POWELL:
Same obj ection.
Not wi thout checki~g, no.
THE WITNESS:
BY MF-. SHAPIRO:
Do you know physically how a nuclear
utility goes about storing greater than Class C
waste?
MS. POWELL:
THE WITNESS:
Same objection.
Not wi thout
checking.
BY MR. SJ;IAPIRO:
163
AIOerson Reporting Company, Inc,
1111 14th Street, N. W. Suite 400 1- 800~FOR-DEPO Washington , DC 20005
~~: :'::' ~;~)
~~)
Case 1:98-cv-00126-JFM
Danie1 Fischel
Document 816-15
Filed 06/01/2004
Page 8 of 17
October 8 ,
2002
Washington; D.
Page 299
It is
, your hypothetical.
Well, it is my hypothetical, but I
represent to you that it is also the real world
and a lot of the utilities don't have greater than
Class C waste.
So I am trying to figure out why it
matters whether or not greater than Class C waste
could be included in the schedules, of a utility
that doesn't have greater than Class C
waste.
It matters for the reasons that I have
said, namely the existence of a type of nuclear
waste that requires storage, and, therefore , cost
of storage, but is excluded from a governmental
program for removing nuclear waste.
It affects the incentives of all possible
trading, partners, whether
or not they themselves
have greater than Class C nuclear waste , because
it affects the terms on which transactions can
occur.
And, for that reason , it affects the
incentives of everyone.
Have you made any attempt to quantify the
impact on effective use of utilities to exchange
delivered commitment schedules, if greater than
Class C waste cannot be stored , cannot be taken by
164
, l\loerson Kepomng company, Inc.
IIII 14th Street ,
N. W. Suite 400 1- 800-FOR-DEPO Washington, DC 20005
~:~:/ , ~g) ;;~ ..
Case 1:98-cv-00126-JFM
Daniel Fischel
Document 816-15
Filed 06/01/2004
Page 9 of 17
October 8 ,
2002
Washington, D.
Page 300
the Department of Energy under the utilities
contracts?
MS. POWELL:
Objection, vague.
THE WITNESS:
Not , beyond what is stated
in the report and what I have stated in my
answers.
BY MR. SHAPIRO:
W~ll, I haven't seen
haven I t
any.
Am I wrong?
seen any attempt in the report to quanti~y
the affect on incentives that you have been
talking about, about the potential inability to include greater than Class C waste on deli~ery
Y:;J
commitment schedules.
Am I missing something?
attempted to quantify that impact?
Have you
What I would say is the report concludes
that the quantification, advanced by Mr. Graves in
his extreme and implausible assumptions about
exchanges, is incorrect and fundamentally flawed
for a number of reasons ~ including the exclusions
expressed in Paragraph
But, you haven
17.
I t attempted
to quantify
the impact on incentives that you are talking
about in Paragraph 17 , have you?,
MS. POWELL:
Asked and answered.
165
Alderson Reporting Company, Inc. 1111 14th Street, N. W. Suite 400 1- 800-FOR-DEPO Washington , DC 20005
Case 1:98-cv-00126-JFM
Daniel Fischel
Document 816-15
Washington, D.
Filed 06/01/2004
Page 10 of 17
October 8 , 2002
Page 301
THE WITNESS:
No.
Other than concluding,
have
just stated, that
the purported
concerning this
quantification by Mr. Graves hypothetical exchange market
implausible for a number of
speculative and different reasons,
including this particular reason expressed in
Paragraph 17.
BY MR. SHAPIRO:
You haven I t attempted to identify
particular utilities that would be less likely to
engage in exchanges at approved delivery
commitment schedules if greater than Class C waste
cannot be taken by the Department of Energy under
its spent fuel program, have you?
Well, I think I have just stated that it
would affect the incentives of all utilities to
varying extents.
But, you haven't attempted to identify
which utilities would be affected more or
have you?
less,
Not as Qf this time, no.
Suppose the Department of Energy has an
obligation, entirely independent of utilities,
contracts with the Department of Energy that are
the particular subject of this dispute, to remove
165A
Alderson Reporting Company, Inc.
11 I 1 14th Street , N. W. Suite 400 1- 800-FOR- DEPO Washington , DC 20005
;;;;) ":':, ::;)
Case 1:98-cv-00126-JFM
Daniel Fischel
Document 816-15
Filed 06/01/2004
Page 11 of 17
October 8 ,
2002
Washington, D.
Page 307
to include that information in your hypothetical
as well as lots of other relevant facts and
circumstances, in order to be able to address it
in a meaningful way.
Let me ask again about Paragraph 17, now
about failed fuel.
paragraph.
You have discussed both
greater than Class C waste and failed fuel in that
Do you know if Yankee Atomic has failed
fuel?
Not without checking, no.
D~ you know if Connecticut Yankee has
failed fuel?
Same answer.
Do you know if Maine Yankee has failed
fuel?
Same answer.
Again ,
my understanding is
that at least some of the utilities in the program
that have signed contracts have failed
fuel.
Do you have ~ny sense of what percentage
of nuclear utilities have failed
fuel?
Not wi thout checking, no.
Do you have any idea what the volume of
failed fuel is amongst all utilities?
Not wi thout checking, no.
166
1111
Aluc;rson Keportmg Company, Inc. 14th Street, N. W. Suite 400 1- 800..;FOR- DEPO Washington, DC 20005
Case 1:98-cv-00126-JFM
Daniel Fischel
Document 816-15
Filed 06/01/2004
Page 12 of 17
October 8, 2002
Washington, D.
Page 310
Reviewing Appendix E doesn t help you
figure that out?
, it doesn't.
Do you , see that the first page of
Appendix E refers to standard fuel, nonstandard
fuel, failed fuel, Paragraph A(l)?
I see that.
Do you have any understanding of what the
difference is between nonstandard fuel and failed
fuel?
, 11
MS. POWELL: THE WITNESS:
Objection, relevance.
Not other than what is
stated in the definitions, no.
BY MR. SHAPIRO:
As you look at Appendix E to the contract, and compare that to the second sentence
in Footnote 11 of your expert witness report, do you think it is possible that that senteuGe in the
expert witness report is not fully
MS. POWELL:
THE WITNESS:
correct?
Objection, vague.
since it refers to Appendix
E of the contract, which contains the provision of
the contract defining what failed fuel is, seems
pretty clear to me that that is what is being
referred to.
167
Alderson Reporting Company, Inc. 1111 14th Street, N. W. Suite 4QO 1-8oo- FOR-DEPO Washington, DC 20005
~,./ ~
Case 1:98-cv-00126-JFM
Daniel Fischel
Document 816-15
Filed 06/01/2004
Page 13 of 17
October 8 , 2002
Washington, D.
.I '
Page 311
BY MR. SHAPIRO:
Footnote IIi
the second sentence of
Footnote 11 of your expert witness report says
that failed fuel is spent fuel or high level waste that does not meet the general specifications for
such fuel as set forth in Appendix Now that you have taken a look at
Appendix E , do you still agree that all spent fuel
that does not meet the general specifications in
Appendix E should be deemed failed fuel?
If what you are su9gesting is ,there is no
reference in the sentence to nonstandard fuel
that is what you mean, I don' t,
, if
think that makes
the sentence inaccurate, because of the reference
to Appendix E , which has a fuller description.
Do you have any idea how fuel becomes
failed?
MS. POWELL:
Objection, relevance.
No" I don
THE WITNESS:
It.
Not as I sit
here without checking.
What is your understanding of what the
contract requires in terms of the Department of
Energy' s obligation to accept failed fuel?
MS. POWELL:
Objection to the extent it
calls for a legal conclusion.
168
Alderson Reporting Company, Inc. 1111 14th Street , N. W. Suite 400 1- 800-FOR-DEPO Washington, DC 20005
, --- "'"
..,
Case 1:98-cv-00126-JFM
Daniel Fischel
Document 816-15
Filed 06/01/2004
Page 14 of 17
October 8 ,
2002
Washington , D.
Page 315
H?!
BY MR. SHAPIRO:
Do you have any knowledge of the
technical feasibility of transporting failed fuel?
MS. POWELL: Same obj ection.
THE WITNESS:
No , I don'
BY MR. SHAPIRO:
Does technical feasibility come into play
in determining whether or not Department of Energy
would accept utilities' failed fuel, with the same
schedule as the rest of its spent fuel?
MS. POWELL:
Same obj ~ction and also
object to the extent it calls for a legal
;;~~f;)
conclusion.
THE WITNESS:
I don 't have an opinion on
, 15
that one way or the other.
BY MR. SHAPIRO:
Do you have any
knowledge of how failed fuel is
MS. POWELL:
THE WITNESS:
stored.
Objection, vague.
Not as I sit here, no.
BY MR. SHAPIRO:
Do you have any understanding of how the
storage of failed fuel compares to the storage of
spent fuel that is not failed?
MS. POWELL:
Same obj ection.
Not as I sit here , no.
THE WITNESS:
169
A.uv."vu ""'PVIUUb' vUIIIPi1I1Y, tnc.
IIII 14th Street ,
N. W. Suite 400 1-800-FOR-DEPO Washington, DC 20005
~~) ~..... '~,
Case 1:98-cv-00126-JFM
Daniel Fischel
Document 816-15
Filed 06/01/2004
Page 15 of 17
October 8 , 2002
Washington , D.
Page 326
experiment.
Or whether there has ever been a real
world situation whe~e you could have a
sufficiently controlled experiment, so you could
begin to answer a question like that, at least in
a particular context.
For purposes of your opinion in these
cases, you haven't attempted to quantify the
difference between how efficient market would be
if it is bilateral trading as opposed to the
auction procedure that Mr. Graves uses in his
report?
~~~~J
Well , I would say that is correct, except
to the extent that all of these points are a
response to the quantification contained in
Mr. Graves' s report in an attempt to show how
extreme and implausible the assumptions are that
underlie that quantification.
Is bilateral trading an unusual part of
th~ economy, generally?
It is not an unusual part of the economy
generally for certain purposes.
But, it would be
very unusual for other purposes, such as the one
contemplated in, or the assumptions that are made
in Mr. Graves' s report.
;;;:J
170
Alderson Reporting Company, Inc.
I1I1 14th ~treet ,
N. W. Suite 400 1- 800- FOR-DEPO Washington , DC 20005
Case 1:98-cv-00126-JFM
Daniel Fischel
Document 816-15
Filed 06/01/2004
Page 16 of 17
October 8 ,
2002
Washington, D.
Page 365
Well, taking into account those rules
that might lead to a suboptimal result, do you
have an opinion, though, as to whether or not, at
the end of that process, with whatever the rules are, the market for delivery commitment schedules
would be efficient on an allocative basis, if the
Department of Energy was otherwise accepting spent
fuel from utilities?
MS. POWELL:
Same objection.
THE WITNESS:
Again, I would say there is
no way to know, based on the experience in other
regulatory contacts where the rules for exchanges
have been similar to the ones that exist
here.
I would say that it is not likely that
this particular exchange market, in the
hypothetical that you have described, would work
all that well in the sense that the rules would
interfere with the ability of participants in the
market to reallocate themselves in an optimal way.
If you want to say that that is an
inefficiency, then if that is the way you want to
use the term inefficiency, then that is what I
would say.
BY MR. SHAPIRO:
I f
the Department of Energy was otherwise
171
IIII 14tl1 Street, N. W. Suite 400 1-800-FOR-DEPO Washington, DC 20005
Alderson Reporting Company, Inc.
, ,, ,,\
Case 1:98-cv-00126-JFM
Document 816-15
Filed 06/01/2004
Page 17 of 17
October 8 ,
2002
. Daniel Fischel
Washington, D. C.
'
Page 367
of making the second exchange.
Do you have any opinion as to how short
of completely optimal the allocation of acceptance rights would likely be if the Department of Energy
was otherwise accepting spent fuel from utilities?
No.
I don 't think it is possible to know
that.
Are you saying it is not possible to know
with certainty, or it is not possible to make any
reasonable estimate of how efficient, allocatively
, 11
efficient
the market would end up being?
MS. POWELL:
Objection, vague.
It is certainly,
THE WITNESS:
possible to
know with certainty.
I think there are some
things that you could say, which I have said,
, 16
based on the experience of other participants in
different regulatory schemes, based on the rules
that existed in those regulatory -schemes that are
referred to in the report and in the footnotes to
the report.
But, any kind of prec~se prediction as to
what would occur in this market, I think would be
very difficult, if not impossible, to make.
What features of a market determine
whether it would perform efficiently?
, i
172
Alderson Reporting Company, Inc. W. Suite 400 1- 800-FOR-DEPO Washington , DC 20005 1111 14th Street, N.